Ben Sparks explains (and codes) the so-called SIR Model being used to predict the spread of cornavirus (COVID-19) in this Numberphile video.
Kurzgesagt – In a Nutshell explores what actually happens when it infects a human and what should we all do.
In December 2019 the Chinese authorities notified the world that a virus was spreading through their communities. In the following months it spread to other countries, with cases doubling within days. This virus is the “Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus 2”, that causes the disease called COVID19, and that everyone simply calls Coronavirus.
By now, it’s clear that COVID-19 has become a significant threat to public health globally, prompting many governments to undertake draconian measures to contain or curtail the epidemic.
Most governments are relying on travel restrictions, isolation, and social distancing as the preeminent methods of stopping the spread of the virus.
What if we were to be more surgical in our approach using location data collected from our devices?
We start with the subset of people who we know tested positive. Using cellphone tower data, we can figure out where these infected people have been and how long they have stayed in each location. Epidemiologists tell us that transmission is most likely to occur between people who are within one meter of each other for 15 minutes or more. We know that infections can also happen because the virus can survive on surfaces, and the analysis could incorporate this observation too, but for simplicity’s sake, we leave it out of analysis here.
It’s Okay To Be Smart encourages us to stay informed. Stay cautious, but not scared.
Listen to scientists and public health officials and follow their guidance. By protecting yourself, you’re protecting the most vulnerable among us.
Together we can flatten the curve on COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2.
Coronavirus was declared a pandemic on Wednesday due to its widespread transmission across the world.
But in terms of severity, it remains relatively low, with certain demographics more vulnerable than others.
Evening Standard shows us five categories of data to shed some perspective on the scale of the crisis.